On the October 12th edition of Mad Money, Jim Cramer interviewed Carl Icahn and congratulated him on the bid by software giant Oracle to acquire BEA Systems (BEAS), which Icahn had been working on for months. Cramer had been recommending BEAS consistently since the summer of 2006 on a takeover possibility. In the December 11, 2006 Lightning Round, Cramer again reiterated his recommendation on the stock stating, "It has obviously been hurt by the options ugly stick, but BEAS should not be punished. That is a legitimate software transaction platform that I think one day, if they don't get the stock up, will be purchased by Oracle (ORCL)."

Again on September 18, Jim recommended BEA Systems (BEAS) on account of billionaire investor Carl Icahn's increasing share of the company, saying a buyout was imminent. Investors pocketed nearly a 40% gain in less than a month when Oracle (ORCL) announced a bid to buy the lesser competitor. (A chart of Cramer's BEAS recommendations is shown below)

Near the end of the interview with Carl Icahn, Jim turned the discussion to Mr. Icahn's ongoing interest in Motorola (MOT), saying that MOT should now be bought (overturning a previously negative view on the stock) because of the activist investor's stellar success with BEAS, calling Icahn the "great value investor of our era." (A chart of Cramer's MOT recommendations is shown below)

Despite the large gains from the BEAS recommendation, however, using the stockTagger database, I set out to discover whether Cramer's piggybacking off Icahn's picks has been a worthwhile activity for Mad Money viewers, or simply a one time opportunity with the BEA Systems (BEAS) buyout. Using the 5 (trading) day, 10 day, 30 day, and 60 day closes after Jim Cramer's recommendation, I examined the performance relative to the S&P 500 of the five stocks he has recommended in the past because of Carl Icahn's activist holdings, including WCI Communities (WCI), Temple-Inland (TIN), Vector Group (VGR), Kraft Foods Inc (KFT), and BEA Systems (BEAS). For each recommendation, the relative S&P 500 gains are calculated from the same date and the cumulative returns for both the stocks and the S&P 500 are calculated below.

Date of Call	Symbol	next day close	next day S&P
1/18/2007	WCI	22	1430.5
3/20/2007	TIN	59.75	1435.04
6/20/2007	VGR	21.31	1522.19
7/17/2007	KFT	35.4	1546.17
9/18/2007	BEAS	13.38	1529.03

Symbol	5 day close/return	5 day S&P
WCI	19.81/ -9.95%	1423.9/ -0.46%
TIN	59.81/ +0.10%	1428.61/ -0.45%
VGR	22.26/ +4.46%	1506.34/ -1.05%
KFT	34.55/ -2.40%	1511.04/ -2.27%
BEAS	13.27/ -0.82%	1517.21/ -0.77%
Cumulative	-1.72%	-1.00%

After 5 trading days, the stocks have underperformed the market, although Cramer has told viewers many times to wait 5 days before buying his recommendations, so we won't get too flustered about this.

Symbol	10 day close/return	10 day S&P
WCI	21.75/ -1.14%	1445.94/ +1.08%
TIN	61.22/ +2.46%	1437.77/ +0.19%
VGR	22.15/ +3.94%	1525.4/ +0.21%
KFT	32.48/ -8.24%	1455.27/ -5.88%
BEAS	13.73/ +2.62%	1546.63/ +1.15%
Cumulative	-0.07%	0.24%

After 10 trading days, the recommended stocks have only slighty underperformed the market, losing only -0.07% versus a gain in the S&P 500 of 0.24% for the period. Of these, Vector Group (VGR) performed the best relative to the index. Overall, not bad, but not good.

Symbol	30 day close/return	30 day S&P
WCI	20.26/ -7.91%	1387.17/ -3.03%
TIN	59.78/ +0.05%	1495.92/ +4.24%
VGR	21.75/ +2.06%	1472.2/ -3.28%
KFT	31.52/ -10.96%	1432.36/ -7.36%
BEAS	18.82/ +40.66%	1548.71/ +1.29%
Cumulative	4.78%	-1.63%

For the 30 day returns, the BEA Systems (BEAS) buyout is included, and the stocks have wildly outperformed the market by about 5%, but take away BEAS and the cumulative return of Cramer's Icahn recommendations are losing you -4.19% versus a loss of -1.63% in the S&P 500. Vector Group (VGR) is again holding up the other three losers.

Symbol	60 day close/return	60 day spy
WCI	22.18/ +0.82%	1471.48/ +2.86%
TIN	61.46/ +2.86%	1522.97/ +6.13%
VGR	23.08/ +8.31%	1484.25/ -2.49%
KFT	34.04/ -3.84%	1562.47/ +1.05%
BEAS	18.82/ +40.66%	1548.71/ +1.29%
Cumulative	9.76%	1.77%

The 60 day returns are again including the BEAS gain of 40% (we are not arbitrageurs!), but without it, we are sitting on a gain of only 2.04% versus a gain of 1.77% in the S&P 500 index! Vector Group (VGR) beats the index by over 10% while WCI Communities (WCI), Temple-Inland (TIN), and Kraft Foods Inc (KFT) are losers.

So, ineffectively, without the BEA Systems buyout, the gains from piggybacking Carl Icahn via Mad Money are merely inline over a three-four month period. From a statistics perspective, 1 out of 5 is not enough to make any sort of reliable future predictions on an 8% lead over the S&P. Viewers will have to decide whether to follow these piggybacking recommendations in the future, but suffice to say, I will not be one of them. And if you waited to buy these stocks after the five day rule that Cramer frequently advises, then your gains only increased by a modest 0.72%. Based on these findings, Cramer should stop recommending stocks based on the Icahn factor. Will investors follow Cramer's latest call to buy Motorola (MOT) on account of Carl Icahn's activities? In later posts, I will unveil more ways that Jim Cramer tries to make you money, and the real performance you won't find anywhere else. Readers are welcome to give their feedback below.

Jim Cramer has been consistently positive on Allergan (AGN), telling viewers to buy the stock since 6/7/2006 when he featured it on Mad Money a little over a year ago. Since then, the stock has risen nearly 30% on the back of its diverse drug portfolio and its signature Botox treatment. On 9/5/2006, Cramer declared the stock "in perpetual mon' back mode."

Chairman and CEO David Pyott has appeared on the show twice, and Cramer gave the stock strong buy calls after each instance. On 12/11/2006, Jim was quoted as saying, "the other day we saw a downgrade of this stock by Thomas Weisel Partners, downgrading on valuation. He's wrong. David's right." Lately, on 10/5/2007, Jim noted again, "Now, I cannot stress enough how remarkable this company is, it's turned itself into a one stop shop for all the cosmetic procedures!"

Cramer has recommended NVIDIA (NVDA) in the past but seems to be riding this recent hot stock's momentum to the moon. Last December 2006, Jim predicted NVIDIA would have an excellent month and the stock was due for a great "mark up week trade." At the beginning of the month he stated, "When a stock comes into December with a full head of steam, when it's got the big momentum, the action will generally continue right through the month, with a vengeance!" On the seventh of the month, he told viewers to stay away from the chip stocks off a bad quarter from National Semiconductor (NSM). Although, the trade hadn't been retracted completely, this negative call might have confused some viewers to trade out of a decent December run. The trade was over by the end of 2006, however, and seasonal weakness in semiconductor stocks lead NVIDIA (NVDA) to lose nearly 25% of its value.

One of Cramer's best trades undoubtedly came this year when he featured NVDA for speculation Friday on 6/15/07. "At about 22x this year's earnings estimates, NVDA is just not that expensive, especially given the earnings momentum and the likelihood that they will keep taking share"..."Are you looking for momentum? I need you to look no further than NVIDIA Corp." Since then, the stock has been on fire (or "en fuego" as Jim would say) as NVDA has gained 43% in just 3 1/2 months.